| 12 November 2009
Last week...
Not a lot to say about last week other than it feels good to crush again. The only two incorrect picks for the weekend were very suprising, Stanford destroyed the 7pt favorite Oregon (who wudda thought?) and the packers decided to prove they are actually terrible. Otherwise, things were great - My underdog picks of the week were exciting as the Chargers brought it down to the wire and Cincinnati continues to prove they are a legit team. I love good weekends; it makes me feel like the oracle. No real drama this weekend, other than Tommie Harris punching a guy 65 seconds into the game. The bears are already a mess and im sure this didn't help. It took 65 seconds of gameplay for Harris to punch the Deuce in the facemask... this is confusing on so many levels. What on earth could you possibly be that worked up about in 65 seconds? Why would you punch someone in their helmet?? it protects their fucking head you asshole. Also, get up Deuce, he punched your helmet - you take blows to the head for a living.
This week...
Lets get right down to it. Patriots @ Colts. Im going to take the Colts here. Why? Because I hate Tom Brady. Also, the Colts are a better team, especially at home. Its going to be a hell of a show, and the colts will come out on top 28-21. These two teams are evenly matched with Brady-Moss-Welker vs Manning-Clark-Wayne, and I think the Patriots Defense is a little better. In New England, the patriots win. At a neutral field, I give the Colts a miniscule advantage, and in Indy i'll take the Colts. Its going to be close, and im not saying bet the farm on it. But if you like the colts, and want to bet, take it.
The most exciting game of the week may be the Pats vs Colts, but the best spot for your money is the Broncos vs Redskins game. Last week I warned against the Broncos, they were getting a terrible line. They played like shit. It was embarrasing. The good news? It contributed to the most rediculous line of the year - Denver (-3.5) @ Washington. WTF? Yes, the Broncos are playing like shit... but not actual shit. Of concern is Marshall missing Weds practice with back problems - no word yet on this weekend. He didn't come out of the game against the Steelers, and im sure he will be listed as questionable, but expect him to end up playing. The real matchup to watch will be Dumervil taking on Levi Jones in his first game at left tackle for the skins. 
If Dumervil can beat Jones, expect him to get a few mean hits on Jason Campbell's blindside as he hangs out in the pocket a little too long. Also old school Bronco Ben Hamilton will be replaced Russ Hochstein at left gaurd - further transforming the Broncos into the little patriots. If Orton doesnt come out of the gates crushing, I wouldn't be terribly suprised if McDaniels gives Simms a shot. I like Orton a lot but it pained me to watch his weak arm exploited on MNF. We all knew he wouldn't be throwing bombers downfield, but get him throwing off his back foot and he looks like an 80 year old woman. All in all, the Broncos have some problems, but I have faith in the coaching staff to take risks to fix them. Broncos 28 - Washington 13.
Wagers
Patriots @ Colts (-3) - Risk $5 to win $4.76
Jaguars @ Jets (Over 40pts) - Risk $5 to win $4.55
Broncos (-3.5) @ Redskins** - Risk $60 to win $56.28
Falcons (-1.5) @ Panthers** - Risk $7.50 to win $6.82
Saints (-13.5) @ Rams** - Risk $7.50 to win $6.82
Bears @ 49ers (-3) - Risk $10 to win $8 (Correct) What a shit show.. Thanks for not letting me down Cutler.
**3-parlay - $5 to win $30
Arizona (+1.5) @ Cal - Risk $10 to win $9.09
Iowa (+17) @ Ohio St - Risk $5 to win $4.55
Fan bet: Wyoming (+7.5) @ SDSU - Risk $5 to win $4.55
UAB (-1) @ Memphis - Risk $5 to win $4.55
**UAB (0), Arizona (+110) - Risk $5 to win $15.05
Temple (-5), Arizona U (+125), Falcons (-1.5) - Risk $8 to win $60.61
Last weeks picks
Washington @ Atlanta (-10) - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Correct)
Baltimore @ Cincinnati (+3) - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Correct)
Chargers (+4.5) @ Giants** - Risk $10 to win $9.09 (Correct)
Chargers (+190) @ Giants - Risk $5 to win $9.50 (Correct)
Green Bay (-10) @ Tampa - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Incorrect)
UL Monroe (+1) @ North Texas** - Risk $15 to win $13.64 (Correct)
Oregon (-7) @ Stanford - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Incorrect)
Oklahoma St (-7.5) @ Iowa St - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Correct)
TCU (-24.5) @ San Diego St - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Correct)
Bowling Green @ Buffalo (-3) - Risk $5 to win $4.55 (Incorrect)
**2-parlay - Risk $5 to win $9.50 (Correct)
Net: +$44.93
NFL + NCAA Season-to-date: +$263.58
(61% on strait picks, net +$234.08)
(50% on parlays, net +$29.50)
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